Comments on: Canadian Real Estate Is Proving To Be A Story of Excess Demand: BMO https://betterdwelling.com/canadian-real-estate-is-proving-to-be-a-story-of-excess-demand-bmo/ Canada’s Fastest Growing Real Estate News Source Sun, 21 Aug 2022 17:45:57 +0000 hourly 1 By: David Chan https://betterdwelling.com/canadian-real-estate-is-proving-to-be-a-story-of-excess-demand-bmo/#comment-85419 Sun, 21 Aug 2022 17:45:57 +0000 https://betterdwelling.com/?p=21667#comment-85419 In reply to Shawn.

You’d be surprised how many people think this isn’t how monetary policy works. Some clown economist is now using entirely fictional numbers “the estimate of households that would have been made!”

Now that there’s no demand, what about the imaginary demand‽

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By: Edward https://betterdwelling.com/canadian-real-estate-is-proving-to-be-a-story-of-excess-demand-bmo/#comment-85353 Thu, 18 Aug 2022 21:37:36 +0000 https://betterdwelling.com/?p=21667#comment-85353 This was always clear for people with any kind of math mind that understands stats. The whole “supply issue” argument didn’t make sense because how the super RAPID and UBIQUITOUS rise in house prices across the entire nation. A supply issue doesn’t manifest itself in every town all at the exact same time…

However, if a central bank were to slash interest rates to deeply negative territory in real terms and promise to keep them “low for long” with a goal of boosting asset prices… this would cause a rapid and ubiquitous increase in demand of people fighting to borrow money at negative rates to get a piece of that stimulus asset growth. And this is what happened… investors rushed the market and anyone remotely thinking of buying a home that understood what was happening did too, which caused FOMO and turbo charged demand further

Makes a lot more sense than every town in an entire country having a supply shortage hit at the exact same time, no?

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By: M https://betterdwelling.com/canadian-real-estate-is-proving-to-be-a-story-of-excess-demand-bmo/#comment-85324 Wed, 17 Aug 2022 21:56:41 +0000 https://betterdwelling.com/?p=21667#comment-85324 “That leaves activity back in the pre-COVID range, or roughly 40% below the peak of the demand-side blowout seen last year,” said BMO Robert Kavcic. — sure, but a few new factors at play: everyone is now clued into the idea that real estate doesn’t only go up; various foreign countries that Canada relies upon to boost RE have increased capital controls + have their own crisis to work through; that wages remain slightly elevated due to inflation hardly matters – a vanishingly small percentage of people in Ontario and BC can purchase properties on their own merits/income (i.e. without leveraging other RE assets).

Pretty tough to sell little 2 bedroom condos at >$1M to households earning 85k, regardless of mom and dad remortgaging their house. And as an investment, unless you’re making a bunch on the market increase or need to launder the cash, it’s an absolute trash proposition.

To my mind, BoC will have to quickly drop interest rates to avoid a full-on meltdown in Canada’s two biggest markets, if not, a 30% drop from the peak will have looked highly optimistic in retrospect. DOM is much worse than official stats suggest.

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By: Economisto https://betterdwelling.com/canadian-real-estate-is-proving-to-be-a-story-of-excess-demand-bmo/#comment-85322 Wed, 17 Aug 2022 19:10:01 +0000 https://betterdwelling.com/?p=21667#comment-85322 Even donkeys were aware of that. But not Tiff Macklem…

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By: Shawn https://betterdwelling.com/canadian-real-estate-is-proving-to-be-a-story-of-excess-demand-bmo/#comment-85316 Wed, 17 Aug 2022 13:10:18 +0000 https://betterdwelling.com/?p=21667#comment-85316 I appreciate the honesty from BMO but this is also just common sense. How could the policy makers and banks not have seen this coming?

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By: richard stanbridge https://betterdwelling.com/canadian-real-estate-is-proving-to-be-a-story-of-excess-demand-bmo/#comment-85306 Wed, 17 Aug 2022 02:58:36 +0000 https://betterdwelling.com/?p=21667#comment-85306 central banks are like the catholic church. completely unaccountable.

they have clearly never heard of say what you do and do what you say

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